๐ Predictions
Yes-or-no questions on the news. Readers forecast with free points; the price is the chance the crowd gives each outcome.
These numbers show what readers and an outside market expect. They are not a balita.fyi forecast: our newsroom does not predict elections or court cases. Free points only: no money in or out, no prizes. Every account starts with 1,000 points; points have no cash value and cannot be bought, sold or exchanged.
Prediction questions
How it works
- Buying YES raises the YES price; buying NO lowers it. The price after your trade is the readers' new forecast.
- Each share pays 1 point if its side happens and nothing if it does not. You can sell shares back before trading closes.
- Prices use the logarithmic market scoring rule, the same pricing method many prediction markets use.