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Will Sara Duterte be legally barred from running for president in the May 2028 election?

Open ยท Trading closes May 7, 2028

50%Yes ยท balita.fyi readers ยท 0 forecasters

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How this question is decided

  1. YES if, on election day (8 May 2028), Sara Duterte is legally barred from being a candidate for president in that election by any of: (a) a Senate impeachment judgment that convicts her and disqualifies her from holding office; (b) a final criminal conviction that carries disqualification from public office; (c) a final decision of COMELEC or the Supreme Court that disqualifies her as a presidential candidate or cancels or refuses her certificate of candidacy. If the election date changes, the new date counts.
  2. NO if no such bar is in force on election day. Deciding not to run, or withdrawing, is her own choice and resolves NO.
  3. The Constitution limits an impeachment judgment to removal from office and disqualification to hold any office (Article XI, Section 3(7)). If the Senate convicts her and the judgment does not state a disqualification, the question waits for a COMELEC or Supreme Court ruling on her candidacy.
  4. A ruling that a court reverses or stops before election day does not count. The editors may settle the question early once a bar is final and no court challenge to it is pending.
  5. Trading stops at 23:59 Philippine time on 7 May 2028, or earlier if a bar becomes final.

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